Bending the Pandemic Curve: Improving Decision-Making With Clinical Research (LWW Journals)

“If a Wuhan-like outbreak were to take place in a U.S. city, even with strong social distancing and contact tracing protocols as strict as the Wuhan lockdown, hospitalization and ICU needs from COVID-19 patients alone may exceed current capacity,” they wrote. “We don’t want to go that route,” Rivers told STAT. “So it’s the top priority right now that we bend the curve.” (STAT)

As I told Dan, the problem is that if 2-3% of the infected individuals need ICU care but no health system on earth is designed to deal with that kind of demand. Hence, if you want the same fatality rate as Taiwan or Germany, it’s all about preventing your ICUs from being swamped. That’s all about bending the curve. (Regenexx)